Valuing potential investments
A key part of the investment process for PE firms involves valuing potential target businesses. We’ll now give a high level overview of some of the valuation mechanisms that PE firms use, although detailed explanations of these are outside the scope of this course.
1. Financial modelling
PE firms employ sophisticated financial modelling techniques to project a target business’ future cash flows, revenue growth and expenses. Examples of such financial models – which are often used together when assessing the value of a target – include:
- Leveraged Buyout (LBO) Modelling: this involves analysing the impact of using a significant amount of debt financing to acquire the target. LBO models incorporate assumptions about debt structure, interest rates, repayment schedules, and exit multiples to evaluate the investment's internal rate of return (IRR) and the return on investment (i.e. equity returns). Note that IRR shows the annualised return on an investment, whereas the return on equity is the total return that shareholders receive on their original investment.
- Comparable Company Analysis (CCA): this analysis compares a target’s financial metrics - such as revenue, EBITDA, and certain multiples (e.g. its price-to-earnings ratio) - to similar publicly traded or recently acquired companies within the same industry, in order to determine a valuation benchmark.
- Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) Analysis: this method involves valuing each of the target company’s divisions or business segments separately, based on their individual financial performances and market comparables. PE firms then aggregate the values of these parts to derive the overall enterprise value.
2. Risk assessment
Private equity firms will also evaluate risks associated with the investment - in light of industry trends, competition, regulation, and macroeconomic conditions - to gauge the likelihood of achieving targeted returns.
3. Management evaluation
The competence and experience of the target company's management team is crucial to the success of a business. When determining what it is willing to pay for a target, a PE firm will therefore take into account the team’s leadership capabilities, alignment with strategic objectives, and ability to implement operational improvements.